Report Date: 27 February 2017
Where are we in the Cycle?
The cycle has advanced significantly since late 2015 but remains within
the confines of a trough while requiring a fresh catalyst in 2017 to move to
the next stage.
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Market Directions
Fueled by continued expansions in global liquidity, U.S. equity
markets keep moving higher as optimism about what Donald Trump can do to
spur growth in the USA provides an additional filip. Improved resource
sector conditions have only partially been embedded in equity prices which
have hit an invisible ceiling as investor expectations appear anchored to
historical outcomes.
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Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Losses have occurred across all development classes with Phase I stocks
, and especially uranium exposed companies, having experienced the biggest
losses during February after strong earlier gains. Portfolio models
have been adjusted to take account of the strongest, and probably
unsustainable, returns leaving a large cash position pending evidence of
improved momentum.
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Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis
PortfolioDirect rating reports analyse the quality and risk
attributes of proposed mineral developments. Rating criteria apply to mining and oil and gas stocks at any stage of
development. PortfolioDirect uses a five point rating
scale to measure the risk adjusted quality of proposed mineral developments
or companies.
For company reports
& ratings...
The 'Steak or Sizzle' blog provides summary judgements on
the top performing ASX-listed resources stocks.
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Exploration Watch. Which exploration results are the most
exciting, the most disappointing and the most anticipated?
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