Report Date: 20 June 2016
Where are we in the Cycle?
A reappraisal of the trajectory of growth by members of the Federal
Reserve board implies an increasingly prolonged cyclical trough for the
resources industry.
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Market Directions
‘The vote over UK membership of the European Union has begun to
destabilise markets. An implied negative growth impact from a vote to leave
is likely to have an adverse effect on resource sector pricing although all
market segments are likely to be affected detrimentally.
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Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Losses across all corporate development stages typified the week with
small stocks continuing to gain from their leverage to an emerging cyclical
bottom while larger stocks are affected adversely by fund flows away from
the sector due to fears about the growth outlook.
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Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis
ASX recently forced Adelaide Resources (ADN:AU) to retract
a report about progress at one of its Eyre Peninsula gold projects in South
Australia. The company had outlined a course of action to assess a mineral
deposit of still unknown size and economic potential making clear, in doing
so, that its description fell short of what would be required to meet the
JORC code standards for a resource estimate. The greater risk for investors
is where companies claim to have fulfilled JORC standards when they have
not. A Mining Journal article pointing out that at least 60% of published
industry reports over the past two years have failed in some way to meet the
JORC Code requirements despite claiming to have met the standard highlights
the need for independent research.
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